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Alpha Pro Indicator: Jensen's Alpha with Beta Regime Context

Measure risk-adjusted excess returns with Alpha Pro indicator. Implements Jensen's Alpha methodology with real-time calculation, beta regime context, and RAM & APS metrics for superior trading decisions.


P

Profabighi Capital Research Team

December 29, 2025

10 min read
Alpha ProJensens AlphaTradingTechnical AnalysisRisk Adjusted ReturnsBeta RegimePortfolio Optimization

Trading Risk Warning

Trading Risk Warning: Trading involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. Past performance does not guarantee future results. You should carefully consider your financial situation and consult with financial advisors before making any investment decisions.


What is Alpha Pro Indicator?

The Alpha Pro Indicator is an advanced implementation of Jensen's Alpha methodology, transforming traditional portfolio performance analysis into an actionable trading tool for cryptocurrency markets. Alpha measures risk-adjusted excess returns relative to a benchmark, providing traders with critical insights into whether an asset is outperforming or underperforming its expected return based on systematic risk exposure.

Key Features

Jensen's Alpha Methodology:

  • Risk-adjusted excess return measurement
  • CAPM-based performance decomposition
  • Skill vs. market return isolation
  • Real-time rolling window calculation

Visual Dashboard:

  • Color-coded alpha line (green/red)
  • Zero reference line
  • Performance trend visualization
  • Benchmark comparison

Why Use Alpha Pro?

1. Distinguish Skill from Market Exposure

Benefits:

  • Identify genuine alpha generation
  • Separate beta-driven returns
  • Validate trading strategies
  • Optimize portfolio allocation

2. Real-Time Performance Monitoring

Applications:

  • Continuous alpha calculation
  • Live performance updates
  • Regime change detection
  • Timely decision-making

3. Flexible Benchmark Selection

Use Cases:

  • Bitcoin benchmark for altcoins
  • Ethereum for DeFi analysis
  • Sector-specific comparisons
  • Custom benchmark selection

Alpha Pro Trading Strategies

Strategy 1: Alpha Momentum Trading

Concept: Trade assets with increasing alpha

Rules:

  1. Monitor alpha tracker daily
  2. Identify assets with rising alpha
  3. Enter when alpha crosses threshold
  4. Exit when alpha declines

Thresholds:

  • Entry: Alpha > 0.5 and rising
  • Exit: Alpha < 0.2 or declining
  • Stop loss: Alpha turns negative

Strategy 2: Alpha Rotation

Objective: Rotate capital to highest alpha assets

Process:

  1. Track alpha for all positions
  2. Rank by current alpha
  3. Allocate more to top performers
  4. Reduce exposure to low alpha

Strategy 3: Alpha Threshold System

Setup: Set alpha targets and limits

Parameters:

  • Target alpha: > 1.0 (excellent)
  • Acceptable alpha: 0.3-1.0 (good)
  • Warning alpha: 0-0.3 (weak)
  • Exit alpha: < 0 (negative)

Interpretation for Traders

Positive Alpha: Asset outperforming benchmark on risk-adjusted basis
Negative Alpha: Asset underperforming benchmark on risk-adjusted basis
Zero Alpha: Asset performing in line with CAPM expectations


FAQ

What's the difference between Alpha and Alpha Pro?

Alpha Pro implements Jensen's Alpha with advanced features including real-time calculation, flexible benchmark selection, and color-coded visualization for instant assessment.

How often does Alpha Pro update?

Alpha Pro updates with each new bar/candle, providing near real-time alpha measurements based on your selected timeframe.

What's a good alpha value?

Alpha > 1.0 is excellent, 0.3-1.0 is good, 0-0.3 is acceptable, and < 0 indicates underperformance.


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